Slovenian Economic Mirror


Slovenian Economic Mirror

Slovenian Economic Mirror - August-September 2008

Contents

 

Autumn Forecast of Economic Trends, 2008–2010
Economic growth at 4.8% in 2008, a slowdown to 3.1% next year; following 5.3% inflation in 2008, a decline to 3.9% next year
Gross Domestic Product
Moderation of economic growth at a relatively high level in the first six months of the year; exports and investment remain the main drivers of growth
International Environment
Further deterioration of the outlook for economic growth in the euro area
Competitiveness
Stronger deterioration in price and cost competitiveness in the first half of the year
Balance of PaymentsThe current account deficit is widening
Price Trends & Policy
Inflation declined in both Slovenia and the euro area, given the slowdown in oil prices on global markets
Money Market – Household SavingsSmaller volume of household deposits in banks in July 
Money Market – LoansLending activity continues to slow
Labour Market
Despite seasonal swings, labour market trends still favourable in summer
Earnings0.6% July wage growth in the private sector and 0.5% in the public sector
Manufacturing
A decline in production activity and in the number of employees recorded in July
ConstructionActivity moderated, but is still much stronger than last year
Private Consumption & Household Indebtedness
After a long period of relatively strong growth in consumption of durable goods, first signs of moderation observed in the summer months
Distributive Trade
Distributive trades again recorded strong value added growth
TourismGrowth in the number of tourist overnight stays moderated notably in the second quarter
Data, Main Indicators, International Comparisons, Graphs