News
IMAD strives to inform the public of its work on a regular basis. In the News section you will find our responses to developments in Slovenia and internationally, our comments on key economic indicators and the main messages of our publications. You can subscribe to our e-mail alerts of news updates and new publications by providing your e-mail address.
Spring Forecast of Economic Trends 2021: Economic activity expected to start recovering in the second quarter; acceleration of recovery in the second half of the year
After last year’s sharp contraction of economic activity, we forecast 4.6% GDP growth for this year. Assuming an improvement in the epidemiological situation and a gradual increase in vaccination coverage, the recovery should start in the second…
Economic Mirror No. 2/2021: The second wave of the epidemic had the largest negative impact on service activities; the impact on export-oriented activities was not significant
Amid stringent containment measures during the second wave of the epidemic, turnover in trade and some service activities declined considerably in Slovenia in the last quarter. As during the first wave, the most affected sector was accommodation and…
Economic Mirror No. 1/2021: Economic consequences of containment measures during the second wave of the epidemic are smaller than in the spring but considerably more concentrated on service activities
With stringent containment measures, turnover in trade and some service activities, particularly those related to private consumption, dropped significantly in Slovenia at the beginning of the last quarter of 2020. The epidemic and the measures to…
Winter Forecast 2020: Because of a strong rebound in the third quarter, this year’s decline in GDP is similar to the Autumn forecast; the deterioration in epidemiological conditions is shifting the recovery into the second quarter of 2021
In the Winter Forecast IMAD projects a 6.6% decline in GDP for this year. After a deep fall in the second quarter, the economy recovered even more than expected in the third quarter. For the last quarter, we expect a renewed decline, but it will be…
Economic Mirror No. 7/2020: A tightening of the epidemiological situation and uncertainty about further recovery
Euro area economic activity increased notably in the third quarter and even exceeded the expectations of international institutions. After a sharp decline in economic activity in the second quarter due to the COVID-19 epidemic and the related…
Productivity Report 2020: Digital transformation as the key to improve well-being in Slovenia
One of the tasks of the Institute of Macroeconomic Analysis and Development as the National Productivity Board is the publication of an annual productivity report. This year's report, the second in a row, has been prepared in times of the corona…
Online conference Economic and social transformation of Slovenia in times of the fourth industrial revolution (11 November 2020)
In the last 15 years, Slovenia has made slower progress in economic development than comparable countries, which requires strategic reflection on the changes needed not only because of long-term megatrends, but also because of the covid-19 epidemic…
Economic Mirror No. 6/2020: Gradual recovery of economic activity in uncertain conditions
The COVID-19 epidemic caused a significant contraction of economic activity in the second quarter in the entire euro area; amid a relatively robust recovery of activity in the summer months, international institutions have upgraded slightly their…
Autumn forecast 2020: The decline in GDP as a consequence of sharp contraction of activity in Q2 will be deep this year, but smaller than projected in the summer; next year growth, pace of recovery uncertain and dependent on the epidemiological situation
In the Autumn Forecast, IMAD predicts a 6.7% decline in GDP for this year. The forecasts for Slovenia’s main trading partners for this year have improved somewhat since June. With the recovery of economic activity and, in particular, with the…
Economic Mirror: economic activity significantly lower than before the outbreak of the epidemic, a slight improvement in May and June
The fight with the COVID-19 epidemic has had a major impact on economic activity since mid-March, notably in April. After falling further in April, the indicators of economic activity started to improve gradually in May and June, but were still…