Autumn forecast

Economic growth is expected to total 4.4% this year and remain at relatively high levels in the next year (3.7%). Export growth is expected to be somewhat more moderate this year and in the next, yet still strong. Investment growth will remain high. Employment growth will remain high this year, before moderating in the coming years, mainly under the impact of demographic change. The main risks to the autumn forecast are possible different conditions in the international environment than assumed in the baseline scenario, which could lead to lower economic growth.